(Updated April 11, 2021) Named the best performing asset of the decade, Bitcoin has come a long way in only a few years. Even as the coronavirus pandemic grips attention worldwide, Bitcoin is still commanding interest around the world, especially with the halving event on the horizon.
Trading at around $7,200 as of the time of writing, it has posted over 9,000,000% gains since July 2010. Within the same period, the S&P has merely tripled. Gold is only 25% up, and some of the best-performing stocks on the Russell 3000 are up only around 3,000%, which pales in comparison to the financial world’s latest marvel.
In this piece, we are going to take a look at all the latest news and plans for Bitcoin that are likely to push its price past $50,000. We will also analyze interest in the coin and its past performances coupled with chart analysis and expert predictions to see if that target is a possibility for BTC in 2021.
Notable Bitcoin News & Plans for 2021
Investors Could Be Accumulating Bitcoin As they Anticipate Halving
According to Glassnode, a blockchain intelligence firm, on April 14, 2020, the seven day moving average of the total number of BTC held in exchange addresses fell to 2,214,365. The average was down almost 8% from a high of 2,404,786, which was registered on January 17, 2020.
The firm thinks the decrease in exchange balances suggests there is a shift to longer-term holding strategies. It turns out investors usually withdraw coins from exchanges and hold them in personal wallets when they expect the price to rise. Conversely, they tend to move the coins to exchanges as they prepare to sell when they feel a price crash is on the horizon.
We believe the increased levels of holding could be associated with the bullish expectations tied to the halving of the Bitcoin mining reward, which is set to occur sometime in May.
The process is designed to control inflation and will cut the rewards per block mined from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC.
Bitcoin Development Healthier Than It has Ever Been
With an increasing number of institutions and companies viewing BTC as an essential piece of infrastructure when it comes to the future of finance, it seems Bitcoin is experiencing a rise in the number of entities that are funding its development.
This is according to research conducted by BitMEX. The report published on March 28 indicates that blockchain firms Lightning Labs and Blockstream are currently the largest contributors to the development of the project. On the other hand, Bitcoin research firm Chaincode is the largest financial supporter of Bitcoin Core software development.
Researchers at BitMEX used data and information available publicly from the people involved to create what they termed as the most comprehensive picture of open-source Bitcoin developer funding.
The report noted:
“We conclude that the situation is more healthy than it has been in the past, with respect to the availability of finance, transparency, and the degree of distribution among financial backers.”
Blockstream and Lightning Labs both employ 8 developers, followed by Square Crypto, with 7 to work on Bitcoin. Tied on 6 developers, each is Chaincode, Purse, and MIT’s Digital Currency Initiative (DCI). The full list can be seen below.
The research team also looked at the activity in the Bitcoin Core repository to identify the top contributors and determine their source of funding. They found out that 11 of the 33 most active developers are independent, with 7 paid by Chaincode and 3 by Blockstream.
Recently we also saw Square Crypto join the fray, and the company owned by the Twitter founder is also supporting Bitcoin development with grants.
Bitcoin is a different cryptocurrency. It is unique. While other solutions have been created, Bitcoin remains the best censorship resistance digital asset. For example, the stablecoin Tether (USDT) could be useful, however, transactions can be easily reversed. This is not good for the crypto ecosystem; and here is where Bitcoin plays an important role.
Bitcoin price could also move higher and up to 60x if it follows gold’s market cap in the future. This is according to a recent report released by Galaxy Digital.
Bitcoin (BTC) 2018-2021 Historical Price Analysis
Bitcoin price movement from 2018 coinmarketcap.com
Fresh of its all-time high in December 2017, Bitcoin began 2018 at $13,848 after a hack that affected the Coincheck exchange in Japan. Hacks then to have an impact on Bitcoin price, such as the KuCoin crypto exchange hack in 2020.
A steady rise would ensue, culminating to a peak of $17,057 on January 6. This would be the highest point the price would get to. A steady decline followed, however, the price managed to hold above the $10,000 mark until the end of January. However, the beginning of February saw Bitcoin break below $10,000 to the $8,200 level by February 2. The price would dance around $8,200 and $10,000 for the next three months before dropping to the $7,500 range by May 25. The next six months saw BTC price play around the $6,000 level until November 14 when the bear market set in. The price had a sharp drop cumulating to a low of $3,316 on December 14.
BTC would bear through the $3,000 range for the next 3 months before breaking above the $4,000 mark on March 16, 2019. A steady rise in price would follow and for the first time in 2019 BTC broke the $10,000 mark on June 24. On July 10, BTC hit $12,967 which marked the highest point the price got for the year. Bitcoin ended the year at $7,277. Bitcoin volatility could also be related to a larger interest from market participants.
In 2020 BTC began the year with a steady rise with the price managing to break past the $10,000 mark by February 9. However, the position didn’t last that long it was back in the $9,000 range for the next month until a break downwards on March 8. There was a sharp drop that bottomed on March 16 at $4,626 amid the spread of the Coronavirus around the globe, and both crypto and traditional markets feeling the impact of the pandemic.
Since the price has bounced back with steady gains and managed to break past the $7,000 mark on April 7. Many consider that Bitcoin’s price could continue growing as the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) plans to offer new products and services to investors in the market.
Bitcoin 2019 Popularity vs. Bitcoin 2020 Popularity
Bitcoin interest between since 2019.
Looking at the numbers from Google trends, we see interest was low at the beginning of 2019, which is understandable given that we were in the bear market. The first spike of interest was between March 31-April 6. There was sustained interest between May 12 – May 18, and this coincides with the rise in price. Interest in Bitcoin peaked on June 23 – 29, a period that saw the coin register its highest price for the year. From there, it steadily declined to level through the following months as the price matched it.
Bitcoin interest by region
Factoring in the same period, in 2020, Bitcoin has seen more interest compared to the previous year. This is supported by the numbers which peaked between March 1 -21. For some reason, most of the interest is coming from Africa, with three of the top 5 searches by nation based on the continent.
As the interest for Bitcoin continues growing, a few weeks ago, Bitcoin’s price was able to surpass $11,550 helping altcoins to register large gains as well. In addition to it, Bitcoin’s price stayed above $10,000 for more than 63 days, breaking the previous 62-day streak between 2017 and 2018.
Bitcoin Price Evolution In 2019
Bitcoin 2019 price evolution coinmarketcap.com
2019 was relatively a bull market compared to 2018, where the price of Bitcoin sunk to the $3,000 level. BTC began 2019 at $3,739. And held on that level until February 21 shortly before returning to the $3,000 level until April 1. From there, there was a steady rise over the next few months, culminating to a peak of $13,793 on June 26. This would represent the highest level the price got in 2019. The following five months saw the price play around $12,000 and $7,000 until on November 25 when it dropped to $6,728. That didn’t last long as it was back to the $7,000 level for the majority of the remaining period managing to end the year at $7,293 an increase of almost 200% from where it began at the start of the year.
We need to also take into consideration that Bitcoin whales move the market, which is certainly something that could change the way in which Bitcoin behaves. Indeed, when a larger number of Bitcoins are moved to exchanges, this could mean that a larger movement could be experienced by Bitcoin price.
Massive purchases of Bitcoin could easily have a deep effect on Bitcoin’s price, which could also affect financial markets. Some experts believe that a large Bitcoin price crash could affect the entire world economy. An important level to see for Bitcoin is $12,000. If it moves higher, then we could consider the digital asset could continue its bull trend.
For example, when U.S. President Donald Trump tested positive for COVID-19, Bitcoin price fell by over 2% in just 30 minutes. Nonetheless, during the third quarter of this year, Bitcoin was able to register gains equal to 18%.
Regulatory issues will also be important to help cryptocurrencies expand all over the world. Without a clear legal framework, innovation could be heavily affected.
Bitcoin Price Prediction – TradingView Analysis – Updated April 11, 2021
According to the analyst, Bitcoin is now testing the resistance at the previous all-time high. This comes after the break of the bull flag and the price could be moving over an ascending trendline. The expert considers that it might be possible for the digital currency to open a long order opportunity.
The resistance level is currently at 60,800 USDT and 61,500 USDT. If Bitcoin is able to break this level, the analyst shows it is possible for it to move towards 70,000 USDT and even higher. This could be one of the last legs of the current Bitcoin bull run. Nevertheless, this has to be seen.
This Elliott Wave analyst shows that the bigger picture of BTC/USDT shows that there have been five impulsive waves that have played out perfectly. Now, we could be in a correction period of three waves (A, B, C) that could continue moving higher in a third and massively impulsive wave.
As the expert explains, we are in a corrective phase. Once wave C is completed, we should resume the bull run. This could help Bitcoin move towards $65,000 and then retrace to $58,000. However, the whole market could continue moving higher and reach higher levels as well considering that the RSI is still not in overbought territory.
For the largest cryptocurrency in the market, we see that Bitcoin has broken above one of the largest channels in which the virtual currency has been for the last months. According to the analyst, there might be a retest of the upper band of the channel before a continuation to new highs and to reach a target of around $70,000 per coin.
The analyst is also considering that BTC could move to $64,000 and $67,000 before reaching the target we talked about before ($70,000). This is why it is important to see how the next hours will continue. For example, will the $60,000 support Bitcoin’s price?
The analyst says that after the last daily movement, Bitcoin held well above the $44k price level. Nevertheless, the virtual currency found strong resistance at $48,000. In addition to it, he says that the psychological level of $44k is standing very well.
Another resistance level is currently at $50k per BTC. However, if the price of the largest cryptocurrency closes above $50,000 then it might be possible for it to start moving towards $52k and $54k. At the moment, the analyst considers that before making anything, it might need confirmation from the digital asset. Moreover, he stated that bullish and bearish chartist would always find a way to confirm their views.
This analyst is showing that BTC is not far from reaching $50,000. However, he considers that it is certainly important to see how the price action evolves at $50,000. According to him, the market is currently overbought and that there could soon be a correction. The RSI line has also reached the overbought zone.
He is also taking a look at the MAXD histogram and comparing it to the 2017 bull market top when BTC reached $20,000. He considers that BTC could eventually retrace from $50,000 to $30,000 and open swing and long term trades after the correction using different reversal signals.
Expert Bitcoin Price Prediction
According to Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream Bitcoin could exceed its all-time high of $20,000 by the end of 2020, given the halving and as other technology fundamentals come to bear. He is optimistic it could go as high as $100,000. This is not the first time that $100,000 is the main target for Bitcoin’s price in the future. Other experts believe that Bitcoin could reach $50,000 after the halving event in 2020.
Changpeng Zhao, better known as CZ, the CEO of Binance, sees the industry getting bigger in the long term, and this is likely to push the price higher. He believes the Increasing interest from institutional players signifies a bullish market in 2020.
Paolo Ardoino, the Chief technology officer at Bitfinex, says he doesn’t expect Bitcoin to fall below $6,000 mark in 2020 even though we could witness some FUD before the halving event. All in all, he sees the price at least hitting $20,000 by the end of the day.
Marc P. Bernegger, who is a fintech investor at Crypto Finance he sees the price of Bitcoin going as high as $55,000 and as low as $22,000 by the end of 2020. He sees the upcoming halving and the inflow of institutional funds as key drivers. Despite that, Tim Draper believes that Bitcoin’s halving is not going to be the main catalyst for Bitcoin’s price surge in the coming years or months.
Alejandro De La Torre, Vice president at Poolin, offers a modest prediction of between $5,000 and $14,000 by the end of the year.
Arthur Hayes, CEO of BitMEX, sees Bitcoin revisiting its all-time high of $20,000 and even breaking through as inflation and the store of value narrative takes hold. However, should we revert to the bear territory, its price will be around $3,000.
Alex Mashinsky, CEO of Celsius, sees the price of Bitcoin going above $25,000 a few months after halving. Having been named the best performing asset of the last decade, the CEO sees no reason why Bitcoin will not dominate the next one.
Ivan, on Tech, a YouTube influencer, sees Bitcoin achieving a minimum of $3,400 and a maximum of $200,000. Hey, anything is possible in crypto!
Nicholas Merten, the founder of DataDash, a YouTube channel, sees Bitcoin achieving a minimum of at least $16,000 and a maximum of $24,000 by the end of 2020. He cites halving increases of institutional investors, and PlusToken finishing selling its BTC and ETH as the chief drivers.
Niklas Nikolajsen, the founder and chairman of Bitcoin Suisse AG, believes no one can accurately predict the price of Bitcoin; however, 2020 will be like 2016, where we will see a positive trend begin and the price could get close to its all-time high. With that in mind, his maximum for the year is $17,000 and a minimum of $5,900.
Nicholas Merten considers that it may be possible for Bitcoin to eventually hit $200,000 per coin.
Bitcoin Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Who Created Bitcoin?
Bitcoin was created by a person or a group of individuals under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto.
When Was Bitcoin Launched?
The bitcoin.org domain was registered on August 18, 2008. Two months later, on October 31, a link to the Bitcoin whitepaper was posted to a cryptography mailing list. On January 3, 2009, the Bitcoin network was launched with Nakamoto mining the first block.
Is Bitcoin Decentralized?
Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency without a single administrator or central point of authority.
Is Bitcoin proof of stake?
No, Bitcoin uses the Proof of Work (PoW) consensus algorithm, which requires the participant node to prove the work done and submitted by them qualifies them to receive the right to add new transactions to the blockchain.
Is Bitcoin a good investment?
If we are to use solid facts, then a return of over 9,000,000% in ten years means it’s the best investment around! The price of Bitcoin will only go up in the future as supply reduces, and crypto gains popularity with the masses. Even the Coronavirus has brought awareness to virtual currencies as people and governments realize the need for virtual currencies compared to touching paper money.
Will Bitcoin go up?
With halving around the corner and based on records, we believe Bitcoin’s price will go up in 2020. Our prediction lies around the $15,000 mark, at least, but we are not ruling out the possibility of the coin surpassing its all-time high.
Where to buy Bitcoin?
Being the most popular cryptocurrency, there are several ways to buy Bitcoin, including using credit/debit cards on Coibase, Coinmama, CEX.IO, BitPanda, and many more.
You can buy Bitcoin using bank account/transfer on Coinbase, Coinmama, BitPanda, and many more.
You can buy Bitcoin using cash on LocalBitcoins, BitQuick, and Wall of Coins.
BTC can be bought on Bitcoin ATMs, which are located at different locations around the globe with over 5,000 machines.
It’s also possible to buy Bitcoin using PayPal even though the fees involved are quite high.
Is Bitcoin dead?
Based on the evidence of the past ten years since Bitcoin launched, we say it’s alive and kicking, and there is no reason why it shouldn’t go on for a long time.
Is Bitcoin better than Ethereum?
Bitcoin maximalist will say yes, and Ethereum die-hards will say Etherum is better. However, both are wonder technologies that offer different perks to users.
Will Bitcoin fail?
Bitcoin failing is highly unlikely as we have seen its development and funding is healthier than ever before.