Let’s examine the insights shared by our Technical Analyst at UseTheBitcoin as he walks us through his personal trading approach and observations on the crypto market.
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
Bitcoin has once again made headlines by crossing the $65,000 mark, but the real question is, can it maintain this level, or is a push toward $70,000 on the horizon?
On the morning of September 26th, Bitcoin’s price took a hit, dropping to $62,705. This marked the third time in just four days that Bitcoin faced rejection at the $64,000 resistance level, which shook the confidence of many bulls hoping for a breakthrough.
However, things quickly turned around when the US stock market opened. The S&P 500 index surged to a new all-time high, and Bitcoin followed suit, rising more than 3% to recapture the $65,000 level. This quick rebound raised hopes that Bitcoin might be ready to test even higher price levels.
What’s Behind Bitcoin’s Push Toward $70,000?
Market analysts believe a few key factors drive Bitcoin’s upward momentum, which could help it push past $65,000 and head toward $70,000. One of the biggest drivers is the current macroeconomic environment. US interest rates remain low, making borrowing money cheaper and encouraging investment in riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Additionally, there is renewed interest from long-term institutional investors. These big players are beginning to take Bitcoin more seriously, viewing it as a potential hedge against inflation. With fears of a stock market bubble fading due to strong economic growth and US housing prices reaching record highs, it’s no surprise that institutional demand for Bitcoin is growing.
The Role of Tech Stocks And Investor Confidence
The tech sector has played a significant role in boosting global stock markets, which has a ripple effect on Bitcoin. Over the last six months, several major tech companies, including Alibaba, Tesla, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Apple, have seen their stock prices rise by more than 30%. This strong performance has given investors more confidence in the market, contributing to Bitcoin’s rally.
Michael Matousek, head trader at US Global Investors, pointed out that while artificial intelligence (AI) remains a major trend, the excitement around AI might have been overhyped in the short term. However, the long-term growth potential of AI, particularly in sectors like chip manufacturing, is still strong. This optimism has supported the broader tech market, which has helped drive demand for assets like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Connection To Global Money Supply
Another interesting factor to consider is Bitcoin’s correlation with the global monetary base, also known as the M2 money supply. Lyn Alden, a well-known investment researcher, recently highlighted that Bitcoin is closely tied to changes in the amount of money circulating in the global economy. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has increased by 83% in cases when more money is added to the financial system.
This is especially important as governments around the world are once again starting to inject liquidity into their economies following a long pause. Stimulus measures that pump more money into the economy often lead to inflation, and Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a hedge against inflation, similar to gold in previous decades. In fact, Bitcoin has outperformed gold in its correlation to the monetary base, making it an attractive option for those looking to protect their wealth.
Recommended: The Correlation Between Bitcoin And The Global Liquidity Index
Institutional Investors Are Back In The Game
One of the most important developments supporting Bitcoin’s recent rise is the influx of institutional money into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Over just two days, $242 million flowed into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which are financial products that allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without actually buying and storing the cryptocurrency themselves.
This shift in institutional demand is particularly notable because earlier this year, there was skepticism about whether these large players would fully embrace Bitcoin. For example, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, launched in late August, saw only $5 million inflows during its first few weeks. But now, sentiment seems to be changing, and institutional investors are starting to see Bitcoin as a more stable and attractive investment.
What’s Next For Bitcoin?
With Bitcoin back above $65,000, many are wondering what comes next. The factors pushing Bitcoin higher—strong macroeconomic trends, rising institutional demand, and a booming tech sector—could all continue to fuel its rise toward $70,000. However, it is important to remember that Bitcoin is still volatile, and sudden price swings are always possible.
That said, the growing inflows into Bitcoin ETFs suggest that investor confidence is increasing. As more institutions move into the space, Bitcoin is viewed as less risky, and this shift in sentiment could create the perfect conditions for a rally to $70,000 and beyond.
Final Thoughts
In summary, Bitcoin’s recent climb above $65,000 resulted from macroeconomic trends, rising demand from institutional investors, and strength in the tech sector. While the future is always uncertain, the current momentum seems to favor Bitcoin, and a push toward $70,000 is not out of the question. As always, stay informed, keep an eye on the markets, and remember that investing in Bitcoin comes with risks. But for now, Bitcoin’s path appears to be looking up.
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