XRP is holding near $1.50 with large-holder accumulation and continued exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows supporting demand as price approaches another test of $1.60.
The latest recovery has kept XRP above the $1.50 area after a volatile week in which the token traded above $1.60 before pulling back. Momentum indicators have also improved and returned to positive territory.
The immediate setup remains centered on $1.50 support and $1.60 to $1.68 resistance. A sustained move above that upper range would strengthen the recovery, while a close below $1.50 could expose $1.45 and then the broader $1.40 area.
XRP Holds Above $1.50 as Momentum Improves
XRP has stabilized after falling toward roughly $1.45 during the latest pullback. Buyers reclaimed the $1.50 level and then pushed price back through the $1.58 area. The recovery has produced a series of stronger short-term lows after the broader decline that dominated earlier months.
| Level | Role |
| ~$1.40-$1.43 | Deeper support |
| ~$1.45 | Secondary support |
| $1.50-$1.53 | Immediate support / Current trading area |
| ~$1.60 | First major resistance |
| ~$1.65-$1.68 | Main breakout zone |
| ~$1.70 | Higher resistance |
| ~$2.00 | Longer-term resistance if breakout extends |
Table 1. XRP Key Support and Resistance Levels
The current recovery remains intact while XRP holds the $1.50 to $1.53 area. Losing that range would weaken the sequence of higher short-term lows and make $1.45 more important.
$1.60 Remains the First Major Resistance
XRP has tested the $1.60 area several times without turning it into support. Recent ETF and spot-market analysis places the immediate resistance zone around $1.60 to $1.65, while another technical setup identifies $1.68 as the next significant hurdle.
That gives XRP a two-stage breakout test. First, a sustained close above $1.60. Second, clearing roughly $1.65 to $1.68, where previous selling pressure and the latest technical resistance converge.
A brief move above $1.60 would not be enough on its own, as buyers would need to maintain price above the zone to show that the available supply has been absorbed.
Whales Added More Than 470 Million XRP in Five Days
Large XRP holders have increased their balances during the latest recovery.
Onchain data shows whale holdings rising from approximately 12.37 billion XRP to 12.80 billion XRP over five days, representing an increase of more than 470 million XRP, valued at roughly $724 million at recent prices.
The accumulation occurred while XRP traded near $1.50 to $1.60 rather than near the September lows, suggesting larger wallets absorbed supply as price approached resistance.
Whale accumulation is not automatically bullish because large balances can later become a source of selling pressure, and wallet-size data does not reveal every holder’s strategy.
For the current setup, however, the increase shows substantial buying as XRP attempted to establish support above $1.50.
XRP ETF Inflows Extend Their Positive Streak
US spot XRP ETFs have also continued attracting capital. The funds recorded approximately $22.65 million in net inflows on September 25, following positive flows on the preceding sessions.
Bitwise accounted for about $18.39 million of the September 25 total, while Franklin Templeton added roughly $4.26 million.
For the week ending September 25, net inflows totaled approximately $75.59 million, bringing cumulative net inflows to about $1.79 billion. The products have now recorded net inflows for 11 consecutive weeks.
However, they still haven’t been enough to push XRP decisively through $1.60, showing how much supply remains around the resistance area.
Momentum Has Improved Without Reaching Extreme Levels
XRP’s technical momentum has strengthened again after cooling during the latest pullback. The RSI is around 58.49, which is above the neutral 50 level and below the overbought readings seen during the stronger August rally.
MACD has also turned positive again. The MACD line was approximately 0.0565 compared with a signal line near 0.0471, while recent histogram bars moved back into positive territory.
Overall, the indicators show improving momentum without the same degree of overheating seen when XRP’s RSI previously moved above 80.
Shorter-term indicators are less aggressive, with the four-hour timeframe placing RSI near 46 with MACD below its signal line, suggesting that intraday momentum remains more balanced than the broader daily setup.
Bitget Hacker Transfers Add Short-Term Supply Risk
A separate market risk comes from XRP stolen during the recent Bitget security incident. The attacker took nearly 103 million XRP from Bitget and initially split the funds across five accounts.
Attackers had stolen roughly $157 million worth of XRP. Notably, Ripple cannot freeze native XRP held in attacker-controlled wallets.
The XRP Ledger (XRPL) lets issuers freeze tokens they issue, but that capability does not apply to XRP itself. Centralized exchanges can still identify and restrict accounts receiving stolen funds.
On the positive side, it is entirely impossible for the attacker to launder the stolen XRP in the open market in one go. The incident is separate from the underlying technical setup, but large movements from compromised wallets are worth monitoring because a sudden transfer to exchanges could affect short-term liquidity.
Quarter-End Supply Could Increase Around October 1
Ripple’s regular escrow schedule can release up to 1 billion XRP on October 1. After the September cycle, approximately 31.28 billion XRP remained in escrow.
Historically, Ripple has returned much of each monthly release to new escrow contracts, with only a smaller portion entering circulating supply.
XRP Needs a Clean Break Above $1.60
Buyers have defended $1.50 while whale balances and ETF holdings increased. Momentum has also improved enough to support another test of resistance.
However, XRP has already failed to establish itself above $1.60 several times, making another intraday spike less meaningful than a sustained close above the level.
| Scenario | Price Trigger | Possible Outcome |
| Bullish Case | XRP closes above $1.60 and clears $1.68 | $1.70 becomes the next test, with $2.00 relevant only after further confirmation |
| Base Case | XRP holds $1.50 but stays below $1.60-$1.68 | Consolidation continues near current levels |
| Bearish Case | XRP closes below $1.50 | $1.45 becomes the next support, followed by $1.40-$1.43 |
Table 2. XRP Price Scenarios Around $1.50 Support
Bottom Line
XRP is holding support after buyers defended the $1.50 area and momentum began improving again.
The first major resistance is at $1.60, followed by roughly $1.65 to $1.68. A sustained breakout through that range would put $1.70 back into focus.
On the downside, buyers need to defend $1.50. Losing it would expose $1.45 and then $1.40 to $1.43.
The movement of stolen XRP from the Bitget incident adds a separate short-term supply risk, while Ripple’s October escrow release will bring another supply event into focus after quarter-end.
Overall, neither fundamental changes the immediate technical requirement: XRP needs to hold $1.50 and establish itself above $1.60 before the recovery can extend.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto price predictions are based on analyst estimates and are not guarantees of future performance. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Need a refresher? Here are some common questions about XRP’s current price setup.
What Is XRP’s Most Important Support Level?
The immediate support is around $1.50 to $1.53. A sustained move below $1.50 could expose approximately $1.45, followed by the broader $1.40 to $1.43 support area.
What Price Does XRP Need to Break?
XRP first needs to establish itself above $1.60. The larger resistance zone extends toward approximately $1.65 to $1.68, so clearing that area would provide stronger confirmation of a continuation.
Are XRP Whales Buying?
Recent onchain data shows large holders added more than 470 million XRP over five days, raising their combined balances from roughly 12.37 billion to 12.80 billion XRP. The purchases were worth around $724 million at recent prices.
Are XRP ETF Inflows Still Positive?
Yes. US spot XRP ETFs recorded about $75.59 million in net inflows for the week ending September 25, extending their net-inflow streak to 11 consecutive weeks. Cumulative net inflows reached around $1.79 billion.
Can Ripple Freeze the XRP Stolen From Bitget?
No. Ripple cannot freeze native XRP held in attacker-controlled wallets. Exchanges can restrict receiving accounts, and issuers can freeze certain tokens they issue on the XRP Ledger, but those controls do not apply to native XRP itself.
